GCSE probability tree questions with worked answers

Follow the branches, choose the right paths and check your fractions.

The with-replacement tree in a table

Complete pathFirst branchSecond branchMultiply along path

RR

R: 4/7

R after R: 4/7

4/7 × 4/7 = 16/49

RB

R: 4/7

B after R: 3/7

4/7 × 3/7 = 12/49

BR

B: 3/7

R after B: 4/7

3/7 × 4/7 = 12/49

BB

B: 3/7

B after B: 3/7

3/7 × 3/7 = 9/49

The without-replacement tree in a table

First selection and remaining bagPossible second selection and full result

Red selected (4/7): 3 red and 3 blue remain

Another red: 4/7 × 3/6 = 2/7. A blue: 4/7 × 3/6 = 2/7.

Blue selected (3/7): 4 red and 2 blue remain

A red: 3/7 × 4/6 = 2/7. Another blue: 3/7 × 2/6 = 1/7.

Support and clarity

Frequently asked questions

Straight answers to the questions people ask most often.

Can I multiply along a path when events are dependent?

Yes. Use the later branch probability for what remains after the earlier result. Without replacement, copying the first-stage fractions into the second stage gives the wrong answer.